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Lusail vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Roustaei A.
55' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Bauobida K.
56' Event
Kinani M.
Assist: Hassan M.

AI Match Summary

Al Bidda in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Bidda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lusail
11%
Draws
9%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Bidda haven't matched Lusail's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lusail's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Bidda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lusail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Bidda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
1:2
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
3:2
Dec 16, 2024 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Roustaei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiku A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kinani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 76 / 100
Al Bidda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Al Bidda let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Bidda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Bidda
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
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Al Bidda

(Away)
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusail1492328:1429
2Al-Kharitiyath1474323:1125
3Al Markhiya1465324:1823
4Muaither SC1463526:2821
5Al Mesaimeer1452719:2117
6Al Khor1445521:2517
7Al-Waab1433815:2512
8Al Bidda1432913:2711
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)