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Lusail vs Al Bidda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2025/2026
Lusail Logo

Lusail

1 - 2
FT
Al Bidda Logo

Al Bidda

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Roustaei A.
55' Event
Tiku A.
Assist: Bauobida K.
56' Event
Kinani M.
Assist: Hassan M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Bidda in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Bidda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lusail
35%
Draws
28%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lusail haven't matched Al Bidda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lusail's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Bidda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lusail Clean Sheet 15%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Bidda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
1:2
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Lusail
3:2
Dec 16, 2024 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al Bidda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Roustaei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiku A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kinani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 66 / 100
Al Bidda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Lusail went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Bidda let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Bidda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
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Al Bidda

(Away)
01 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 0
Al Bidda
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
08 Sept
Shamal 2
0 : 3
Al Bidda
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al Gharafa 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusail 14 9 2 3 28:14 29
2 Al Kharitiyath 14 7 4 3 23:11 25
3 Al Markhiya 14 6 5 3 24:18 23
4 Muaither SC 14 6 3 5 26:28 21
5 Al Mesaimeer 14 5 2 7 19:21 17
6 Al Khor 14 4 5 5 21:25 17
7 Al Waab 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
8 Al Bidda 14 3 2 9 13:27 11
Promotion - QSL (Main)
Promotion - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)