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Lushnja vs Burreli

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Mellugja D.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Lushnja and Burreli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lushnja
35%
Draws
39%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burreli come out ahead of Lushnja on wins alone.
  • Burreli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Burreli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 19%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lushnja Burreli
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.79 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
0:0
Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lushnja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellugja D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lushnja 28 / 100
Burreli 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lushnja Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burreli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lushnja scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Lushnja has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lushnja VS Burreli
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lushnja

(Home)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)