Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lushnja vs Burreli

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Mellugja D.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Lushnja and Burreli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lushnja
20%
Draws
40%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burreli come out ahead of Lushnja on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Burreli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 68%
Burreli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lushnja Burreli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
0:0
Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lushnja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellugja D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lushnja 41 / 100
Burreli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lushnja Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burreli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Burreli registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lushnja scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lushnja VS Burreli
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lushnja

(Home)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Burreli
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
04 Apr
Laci
3 : 1
Burreli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)