Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lushnja vs KF Oriku

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2024/2025
Lushnja Logo

Lushnja

0 - 1
FT
KF Oriku Logo

KF Oriku

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Shkreli R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with KF Oriku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lushnja
15%
Draws
0%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KF Oriku come out ahead of Lushnja on wins alone.
  • Lushnja are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • KF Oriku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lushnja, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 20%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lushnja KF Oriku
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
0:1
May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Lushnja
4:2
Dec 21, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
1:0
Feb 1, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Lushnja
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Oriku
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lushnja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

KF Oriku Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkreli R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lushnja 58 / 100
KF Oriku 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lushnja KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Oriku lost 5 of their last 5 games.

KF Oriku has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lushnja scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lushnja VS KF Oriku
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lushnja

(Home)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 7

KF Oriku

(Away)
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
26 Apr
Kukesi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AF Elbasani 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
Tomori Berat 1
Iliria Kruja 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 15
KS Devolli 1
Besa Kavaje 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak 1
Kucove 0
KF Valbona 1
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Skenderbeu Korca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Gramshi 1
Lushnja 0
KF Oriku 1
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 5
Adriatiku 1
Luzi 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 5
Koplik 2
Kastrioti 3
Butrinti Sarande 1
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi 6
Albanet 0
Pogradeci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Kelcyra 0
Burreli 4
Sopoti Librazhd 0
1/16-finals
Teuta -
TBD -
AF Elbasani 3
Iliria Kruja 1
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 0
Besa Kavaje 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak 2
KF Valbona 1
Skenderbeu Korca -
TBD -
Vora 3
KF Oriku 1
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Luzi 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Kastrioti 4
Laci -
TBD -
Kukesi 2
Pogradeci 1
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Burreli 1
1/8-finals
Teuta 0
AF Elbasani 2
Vllaznia 1
Besa Kavaje 0
Dinamo City 6
Erzeni Shijak 1
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Vora 0
KF Tirana 1
Bylis 2
KF Egnatia 4
Kastrioti 0
Laci 3
Kukesi 1
Partizani 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Quarter-finals
AF Elbasani 3
Vllaznia 4
Dinamo City 4
Skenderbeu Korca 2
Bylis 3
KF Egnatia 5
Laci 1
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 3
Dinamo City 4
KF Egnatia 2
Partizani 1
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2