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Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023
Lushnja Logo

Lushnja

2 - 0
FT
Terbuni Puka Logo

Terbuni Puka

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Haxhiu M.
43' Event
Mehmeti M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Lushnja advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lushnja
15%
Draws
0%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Terbuni Puka haven't matched Lushnja's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lushnja a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Lushnja have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Terbuni Puka, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 68%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lushnja Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:3
Nov 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
0:1
Oct 11, 2022 Albanian Cup
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
3:2
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Haxhiu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehmeti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Terbuni Puka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lushnja 50 / 100
Terbuni Puka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lushnja Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Terbuni Puka conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Terbuni Puka lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lushnja found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (40 games).

Scoring Trends

Lushnja VS Terbuni Puka
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lushnja

(Home)
07 Oct
Lushnja
0 : 4
Shiroka
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
Page 1 of 8

Terbuni Puka

(Away)
07 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
2 : 1
Terbuni Puka
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Burreli -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
KS Devolli 5
Sopoti Librazhd 1
TBD -
Laci -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Terbuni Puka -
Koplik 3
Murlani 0
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak -
Luzi -
TBD -
TBD -
Teuta -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
Laberia FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
1/16-finals
Pogradeci 1
Bylis 10
Flamurtari 2
Vllaznia 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KF Oriku 0
Partizani 2
Maliqi 1
Skenderbeu Korca 8
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia 6
Burreli 2
Tomori Berat 5
KS Devolli 0
Laci 7
Butrinti Sarande 0
Dinamo City 4
Vora 0
Kastrioti 1
Lushnja 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Koplik 2
KF Tirana 5
Turbina Cerrik 1
Erzeni Shijak 6
Luzi 0
Teuta 2
Beselidhja Lezha 1
Apolonia Fier 2
Laberia FC 0
Kukesi 5
1/8-finals
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Partizani 6
Skenderbeu Korca 1
KF Egnatia 2
Tomori Berat 2
Laci 5
Dinamo City 1
Kastrioti 3
Lushnja 0
KF Tirana 4
Erzeni Shijak 1
Teuta 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Kukesi 5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia 3
Partizani 2
KF Egnatia 3
Laci 0
Kastrioti 3
KF Tirana 6
Teuta 3
Kukesi 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 2
KF Tirana 3
Teuta 0
Final
KF Egnatia 1
KF Tirana 0