Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023

Lusitania FC

2 - 1

Castro Daire

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Lusitania FC

17%

Draws

13%

Castro Daire

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lusitania FC lately — more wins on the board than Castro Daire.
70% — that's where the model lands on Lusitania FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Lusitania FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Castro Daire Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitania FC	Castro Daire
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	14	4
Draws	8	9
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitania FC vs Castro Daire

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Castro Daire vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Castro Daire vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitania FC vs Castro Daire

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Apr 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitania FC vs Castro Daire

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 77 / 100

Castro Daire 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitania FC Castro Daire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusitania FC scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Castro Daire conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Castro Daire has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Salgueiros	26	15	7	4	39:25	52
2	Lusitania FC	26	15	7	4	49:23	52
3	Rebordosa	26	14	9	3	42:23	51
4	Beira Mar	26	13	9	4	35:21	48
5	Maritimo B	26	12	7	7	39:26	43
6	Valadares Gaia FC	26	10	10	6	39:29	40
7	Gondomar	26	10	8	8	33:32	38
8	Camacha	26	9	7	10	30:34	34
9	Leca	26	10	3	13	29:29	33
10	Machico	26	7	8	11	31:40	29
11	FC Alpendorada	26	8	5	13	30:43	29
12	Castro Daire	26	4	8	14	23:34	20
13	GD Resende	26	4	5	17	30:50	17
14	Guarda Desportiva	26	2	5	19	21:61	8