Sport Picks
Lusitania FC vs Fiaes
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Fiaes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lusitania FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Lusitania FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lusitania FC a 60% chance of winning this.
- Lusitania FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fiaes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 18%
Fiaes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lusitania FC | Fiaes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 13 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Fiaes
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lusitania FC 58 / 100
Fiaes 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lusitania FC Fiaes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiaes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 13 matches.
Lusitania FC scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lusitania FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lusitania FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lusitania FC
(Home) 29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
29 Jul
Lusitania FC
3 : 3 FC Porto B
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0 Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Lusitania FC
3 : 3 FC Porto B
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0 Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2 Torreense
26 Apr
Lusitania FC
2 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
Page 1 of 3
Fiaes
(Away) 10 Aug
Fiaes
0 : 3 Tirsense
26 Aug
Beira Mar
1 : 0 Fiaes
19 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 2 Varzim
05 Sept
UD Gandara
0 : 3 Fiaes
13 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 1 Leca
Page 1 of 3
26 Aug
Beira Mar
1 : 0 Fiaes
05 Sept
UD Gandara
0 : 3 Fiaes
26 Nov
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Fiaes
31 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 Fiaes
23 Sept
Lusitania FC
1 : 2 Fiaes
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto2
Chaves0
Real SC0
Aves1
Penafiel2
Vizela1
Portimonense1
Sertanense2
Leixoes4
Torreense0
Freamunde0
Anadia1
Juv. Evora2
Infesta1
Messinense0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Serzedelo0
TBD-
Boavista-
Olhanense2
Carregado1
Rebordosa1
Rio Ave6
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Atletico CP0
Cova De Piedade0
Nacional5
Leiria2
Nelas0
Operario0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica3
Academica1
SC Lusitania1
Feirense4
Abrantes1
Monsanto0
BSAD2
Pacos Ferreira3
Valdevez1
CU Micaelense0
Social Lamas1
Tocha2
Beira Mar1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Machico0
Moreirense4
Estrela da Amadora-
TBD-
UD Rio Maior1
Fatima2
Camacha1
Sanjoanense0
TBD-
Braga-
Maritimo-
TBD-
Mondinense0
Oliveirense4
Lagoa3
Santa Clara2
Louletano0
Sporting CP4
1/16-finals
FC Porto2
Aves0
Penafiel1
Sertanense2
Leixoes1
Anadia0
Juv. Evora0
Gil Vicente3
Naval4
Boavista1
Olhanense3
Rio Ave4
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Nacional0
Leiria0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica1
Feirense0
Abrantes0
Pacos Ferreira4
Valdevez3
Tocha1
Beira Mar0
Moreirense1
Estrela da Amadora4
Fatima2
Camacha2
Braga3
Maritimo1
Oliveirense0
Lagoa0
Sporting CP4
1/8-finals
FC Porto4
Sertanense0
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica4
Pacos Ferreira1
Valdevez0
Moreirense3
Estrela da Amadora1
Braga0
Maritimo1
Sporting CP2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto1
Gil Vicente0
Naval1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica2
Moreirense0
Estrela da Amadora0
Sporting CP1
Semi-finals
FC Porto3
Vitoria Setubal0
Benfica3
Sporting CP5
Final
FC Porto0
Sporting CP2
