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Lusitania FC vs Pacos Ferreira

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa
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Match Events

17' Event
Silva J.
Assist: Martins R.
25'
Ferreira T.
37'
Danny

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lusitania FC
44%
Draws
20%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Lusitania FC's 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lusitania FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 23%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Pacos Ferreira
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Lusitania FC
1:5
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Pacos Ferreira vs Lusitania FC
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Lusitania FC vs Pacos Ferreira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Vasco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 37 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Pacos Ferreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitania FC scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Pacos Ferreira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lusitania FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS Pacos Ferreira
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934