Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa

Lusitania FC

1 - 0

Sporting CP B

Our Tip

Match Events

Arsenio

22'

Josue Sa

37'

Silva J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Lusitania FC and Sporting CP B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Lusitania FC

28%

Draws

22%

Sporting CP B

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sporting CP B haven't matched Lusitania FC's recent run of results.
Lusitania FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitania FC	Sporting CP B
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	7	3
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1.13	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

Lusitania FC vs Sporting CP B

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Oct 25, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3

Lusitania FC vs Sporting CP B

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Feb 7, 2025 Liga 3

Sporting CP B vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Arsenio

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sporting CP B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 59 / 100

Sporting CP B 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitania FC Sporting CP B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lusitania FC scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Sporting CP B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS Sporting CP B

1.13 Goals Scored 0.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maritimo	34	20	6	8	50:29	66
2	Academico Viseu	34	17	8	9	58:33	59
3	Torreense	34	18	5	11	46:33	59
4	Vizela	34	14	9	11	39:40	51
5	FC Porto B	34	15	6	13	41:42	51
6	Leiria	34	13	11	10	52:46	50
7	Leixoes	34	15	5	14	46:55	50
8	Feirense	34	12	10	12	37:40	46
9	Chaves	34	13	6	15	42:40	45
10	Benfica B	34	11	11	12	43:44	44
11	FC Felgueiras	34	11	11	12	34:38	44
12	Lusitania FC	34	11	10	13	44:52	43
13	Sporting CP B	34	13	3	18	41:34	42
14	Penafiel	34	11	8	15	37:39	41
15	Portimonense	34	11	7	16	39:49	40
16	SC Farense	34	10	10	14	31:37	40
17	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	12	13	34:48	39
18	Oliveirense	34	8	10	16	34:49	34