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Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Lusitano FCV Logo

Lusitano FCV

3 - 0
FT
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitano FCV in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano FCV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lusitano FCV
15%
Draws
85%
Bustelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bustelo lately — more wins on the board than Lusitano FCV.
  • Bustelo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 20%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano FCV Bustelo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
3:0
Feb 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV
0:0
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV
3:1
Aug 23, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
4:0
Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 20 / 100
Bustelo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano FCV Bustelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Bustelo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lusitano FCV scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano FCV VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano FCV

(Home)
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
11 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Sanjoanense
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
03 Apr
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Castro Daire
14 Mar
Beira Mar
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 6

Bustelo

(Away)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)