Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitano GC vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Campo Estrela, Evora
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Teixeira P.
20' Event
Baptista T.
46'
Sub
Teixeira P. In: Gustavo Almeida
Out: Teixeira P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Lusitano GC and Amora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lusitano GC
35%
Draws
32%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amora haven't matched Lusitano GC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lusitano GC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 20%
Amora Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano GC Amora
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Amora
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Amora
3:1
May 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitano GC Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Amora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano GC 32 / 100
Amora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano GC Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lusitano GC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lusitano GC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano GC VS Amora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano GC

(Home)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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Amora

(Away)
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
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