Sport Picks
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Campo Estrela, Evora 
Match Events
16'
16'
Suker H.
Assist: Santana C.
46'
46'
Sub
Davou S. In: Andrade Male S. A.
Out: Davou S.
46'
46'
Sub
Baptista T. In: Batalha R.
Out: Baptista T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Lusitano GC and Atletico CP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico CP carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Atletico CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico CP have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lusitano GC | Atletico CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Lusitano GC
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Lusitano GC
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lusitano GC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Atletico CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Suker H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lusitano GC 10 / 100
Atletico CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lusitano GC Atletico CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lusitano GC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Lusitano GC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Atletico CP conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Lusitano GC VS Atletico CP
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lusitano GC
(Home) 12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1 Atletico CP
02 May
Lusitano GC
0 : 1 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
Atletico CP
(Away) 19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1 Atletico CP
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
