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Lusitano GC vs Caldas SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Campo Estrela, Evora
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Clemente D. In: Carreira R.
Out: Clemente D.
39'
Rodrigues J.
41' Event
Rodrigues J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Caldas SC in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldas SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lusitano GC
30%
Draws
41%
Caldas SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lusitano GC have won more games recently than Caldas SC.
  • Model gives Lusitano GC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 68%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano GC Caldas SC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Caldas SC
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Caldas SC
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano GC 51 / 100
Caldas SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano GC Caldas SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano GC scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Caldas SC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Lusitano GC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano GC VS Caldas SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano GC

(Home)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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Caldas SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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