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Lusitano GC vs SC Angrense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Lusitano GC Logo

Lusitano GC

1 - 0
FT
SC Angrense Logo

SC Angrense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitano GC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lusitano GC
20%
Draws
0%
SC Angrense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lusitano GC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusitano GC lately — more wins on the board than SC Angrense.
  • Lusitano GC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 68%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano GC SC Angrense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Angrense vs Lusitano GC
0:2
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs SC Angrense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano GC 95 / 100
SC Angrense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano GC SC Angrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitano GC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Angrense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: SC Angrense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lusitano GC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano GC VS SC Angrense
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano GC

(Home)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 7

SC Angrense

(Away)
30 Aug
Sacavenense
5 : 0
SC Angrense
21 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
7 : 1
SC Angrense
19 Apr
Serpa
4 : 2
SC Angrense
08 Apr
SC Angrense
0 : 2
Lusitano GC
02 Apr
Juv. Evora
6 : 0
SC Angrense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)