Sport Picks

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Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusitano VRSA in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano VRSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lusitano VRSA
30%
Draws
39%
Almancilense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Almancilense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almancilense lately — more wins on the board than Lusitano VRSA.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lusitano VRSA Clean Sheet 20%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano VRSA Almancilense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense
1:0
Nov 12, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA
3:0
Apr 30, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA
2:1
Mar 12, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense
0:0
Dec 4, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano VRSA 36 / 100
Almancilense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano VRSA Almancilense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almancilense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almancilense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lusitano VRSA scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Lusitano VRSA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano VRSA VS Almancilense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano VRSA

(Home)
29 Sept
GS Loures
3 : 2
Lusitano VRSA
22 Apr
Pinhalnovense
3 : 0
Lusitano VRSA
15 Apr
Lusitano VRSA
1 : 1
Moncarapachense
08 Apr
Moura AC
2 : 0
Lusitano VRSA
31 Mar
Lusitano VRSA
2 : 0
Operario
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Almancilense

(Away)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)