Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitanos vs Carroi

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Wed, May 29, 2019
1 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Urrunaga H.
120'
da Silva L.
1' Event
Munoz Caballe A. M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Divisió 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lusitanos
30%
Draws
47%
Carroi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carroi lately — more wins on the board than Lusitanos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Carroi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Carroi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Carroi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitanos Carroi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Andorra Cup
Carroi vs Lusitanos
3:1
May 29, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Carroi
1:1
May 22, 2019 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Lusitanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrunaga H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Carroi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitanos 41 / 100
Carroi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitanos Carroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carroi conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Carroi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lusitanos's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carroi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitanos

(Home)
19 Jan
Carroi
3 : 1
Lusitanos
29 May
Lusitanos
1 : 1
Carroi
22 May
Carroi
1 : 0
Lusitanos
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
11 May
Lusitanos
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

Carroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lusitanos 1
Carroi 2