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Luxembourg City vs Jeunesse Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

National Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Seydi M.
58' Event
Ben Othman F.
64' Event
Seydi M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 2021/2022 game between Luxembourg City and Jeunesse Esch finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeunesse Esch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Luxembourg City
39%
Draws
30%
Jeunesse Esch
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeunesse Esch come out ahead of Luxembourg City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jeunesse Esch here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Luxembourg City Clean Sheet 10%
Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg City Jeunesse Esch
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 BGL Ligue
Luxembourg City vs Jeunesse Esch
1:3
Aug 8, 2021 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs Luxembourg City
5:0
May 12, 2021 BGL Ligue
Luxembourg City vs Jeunesse Esch
1:0
Feb 24, 2021 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs Luxembourg City
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 BGL Ligue
Luxembourg City vs Jeunesse Esch
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Othman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jeunesse Esch Compare

Top Goalscorer Seydi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kyei S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg City 30 / 100
Jeunesse Esch 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg City Jeunesse Esch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Esch let in goals in 84% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Luxembourg City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luxembourg City's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg City VS Jeunesse Esch
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dudelange30214578:2767
2Differdange30195658:2862
3Fola30188464:3762
4Hesperange30186661:2660
5Progres Niedercorn30167768:3755
6UNA Strassen30149753:3651
7Racing Luxembourg301541156:4849
8Jeunesse Esch301451144:3047
9Mondorf301071338:4437
10Ettelbruck301211745:6637
11Union Titus Petange301051540:4135
12Victoria Rosport30891345:5933
13Wiltz30941742:5331
14Hostert30861642:6330
15FC Rodange 9130612323:7019
16Luxembourg City30112813:1054