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World Championship 2026 Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg

Luxembourg

0 - 2

Germany

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Goretzka L.

40'

Bohnert F.

46'

Sub

Bohnert F. In: Martins M.

Out: Bohnert F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Germany in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Luxembourg

15%

Draws

42%

Germany

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luxembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Germany lately — more wins on the board than Luxembourg.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Germany have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Luxembourg Clean Sheet 13%

Germany Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Luxembourg	Germany
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	7	18
Draws	5	4
Losses	17	6
Goals Scored	0.69	2.46
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	0.69	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Luxembourg vs Germany

0:2

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Germany vs Luxembourg

4:0

May 27, 2006 Friendly International

Germany vs Luxembourg

7:0

Jun 5, 1998 Friendly International

Germany vs Luxembourg

7:0

Dec 18, 1991 Euro

Germany vs Luxembourg

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.34

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Woltemade N.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg 31 / 100

Germany 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Luxembourg Germany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Germany has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Luxembourg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Luxembourg scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg VS Germany

0.75 Goals Scored 2.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg

(Home)

06 Jun

Albania

0 : 1

Luxembourg

03 Jun

Luxembourg

0 : 1

Italy

31 Mar

Luxembourg

3 : 0

Malta

26 Mar

Malta

0 : 2

Luxembourg

17 Nov

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Luxembourg

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Germany

(Away)

29 Jun

Germany

1 : 2

Paraguay

25 Jun

Ecuador

2 : 1

Germany

20 Jun

Germany

2 : 1

Ivory Coast

14 Jun

Germany

7 : 1

Curacao

06 Jun

USA

1 : 2

Germany

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