Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg

0 - 1

Slovakia

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Satka L.

28'

Jans L.

46'

Sub

Satka L. In: Obert A.

Out: Satka L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slovakia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovakia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Luxembourg

17%

Draws

13%

Slovakia

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Luxembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Slovakia have won more games recently than Luxembourg.
Model gives Luxembourg a 70% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Slovakia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

Luxembourg Clean Sheet 68%

Slovakia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Luxembourg	Slovakia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	16
Draws	5	5
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	0.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

Slovakia vs Luxembourg

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Oct 16, 2023 Euro

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Mar 23, 2023 Euro

Slovakia vs Luxembourg

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Oct 12, 2015 Euro

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Slovakia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigo T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg 77 / 100

Slovakia 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Luxembourg Slovakia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUX Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Luxembourg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Luxembourg scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Slovakia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg VS Slovakia

0.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0