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Luxembourg W vs Scotland W

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World Cup Women Stade Emile Mayrisch
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luxembourg W play Scotland W in the World Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Luxembourg W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. Scotland W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Luxembourg W won 0, Scotland W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Luxembourg W and 3.19 for Scotland W. This points to a Scotland W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Luxembourg W
22%
Draws
50%
Scotland W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Scotland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Luxembourg W picked up more points recently compared to Scotland W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 3.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Luxembourg W Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg W Scotland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Scotland W vs Luxembourg W
7:0
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Luxembourg W vs Scotland W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Scotland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weir C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Clark J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg W 27 / 100
Scotland W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg W Scotland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Scotland W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luxembourg W attacking → ← attacking Scotland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luxembourg W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scotland W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Luxembourg W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Scotland W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 49
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wales W642017:514
2Czech Republic W632118:811
3Albania W62139:147
4Montenegro W60156:231
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland W651018:516
2Turkey W641111:513
3Northern Ireland W620410:96
4Malta W60064:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal W650117:415
2Finland W650115:615
3Slovakia W62048:176
4Latvia W60064:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland W642024:214
2Belgium W642022:114
3Israel W620410:206
4Luxembourg W60061:340