Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzi vs Butrinti Sarande

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
Luzi Logo

Luzi

3 - 2
FT
Butrinti Sarande Logo

Butrinti Sarande

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cucka F.
28' Event
Hoxha R.
64' Event
Merkuri M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luzi in this Albanian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luzi
15%
Draws
0%
Butrinti Sarande
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Luzi have won more games recently than Butrinti Sarande.
  • Win probability leans Luzi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Luzi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Luzi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Luzi Clean Sheet 19%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzi Butrinti Sarande
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Luzi vs Butrinti Sarande
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucka F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoxha R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Top Goalscorer Culli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzi 85 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzi Butrinti Sarande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Butrinti Sarande's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luzi scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Butrinti Sarande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Luzi VS Butrinti Sarande
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzi

(Home)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
Page 1 of 8

Butrinti Sarande

(Away)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti 3
Shkumbini Peqin 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 4
Kucove 0
Luzi 3
Butrinti Sarande 2
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 3
Delvina 0
Turbina Cerrik 4
Koplik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KS Devolli 0
Besa Kavaje 3
Sopoti Librazhd 2
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City 3
Iliria Kruja 0
KF Oriku 2
Pogradeci 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 1
Shenkolli 0
Lushnja 3
Laberia FC 0
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 4
Murlani 1
Terbuni Puka 2
Vora 4
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
AF Luftetari 0
Burreli 2
KF Valbona 1
1/16-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
Kastrioti 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 2
Luzi 1
Teuta -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Besa Kavaje 2
Laci -
TBD -
Dinamo City 2
KF Oriku 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 0
Lushnja 3
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Vora 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
Burreli 0
1/8-finals
Kukesi 1
AF Elbasani 0
Partizani 3
Apolonia Fier 1
Teuta 2
Skenderbeu Korca 0
KF Tirana 3
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Laci 1
Dinamo City 0
KF Egnatia 2
Lushnja 0
Erzeni Shijak 2
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 4
Flamurtari 0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi 2
Partizani 1
Teuta 1
KF Tirana 2
Laci 1
KF Egnatia 4
Erzeni Shijak 3
Vllaznia 7
Semi-finals
Kukesi 2
KF Tirana 1
KF Egnatia 2
Vllaznia 1
Final
Kukesi 0
KF Egnatia 1