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Luziania vs Bosque Formosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Luziania Logo

Luziania

2 - 3
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Luziania and Bosque Formosa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosque Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luziania
15%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bosque Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Luziania Clean Sheet 68%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Bosque Formosa
2:1
Feb 9, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Bosque Formosa
2:3
Mar 16, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
2:2
Feb 28, 2018 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
2:2
Feb 26, 2017 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 86 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Bosque Formosa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Luziania's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
03 Oct
Taguatinga
2 : 0
Luziania
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
Page 1 of 7

Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)