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Luziania vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Luziania Logo

Luziania

2 - 1
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luziania in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luziania
15%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Luziania at 1.38 per game, Bosque Formosa at 1.37.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Luziania taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Luziania Clean Sheet 19%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Bosque Formosa
2:1
Feb 9, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Bosque Formosa
2:3
Mar 16, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
2:2
Feb 28, 2018 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
2:2
Feb 26, 2017 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Luziania
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bosque Formosa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Luziania's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
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Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)