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Luziania vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Luziania Logo

Luziania

0 - 4
FT
Capital Logo

Capital

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 game between Luziania and Capital finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Luziania
30%
Draws
47%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capital come out ahead of Luziania on wins alone.
  • Model gives Capital a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Luziania Clean Sheet 16%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Capital
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Capital
0:4
Apr 2, 2021 Brasiliense
Capital vs Luziania
1:0
Mar 1, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Luziania
2:2
Feb 9, 2019 Brasiliense
Capital vs Luziania
0:1
Feb 2, 2014 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Capital
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 10 / 100
Capital 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Capital has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Luziania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Capital
0.6 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
Page 1 of 6

Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)