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Luziania vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 game between Luziania and Gama finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Luziania
30%
Draws
37%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Luziania Clean Sheet 18%
Gama Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Gama
Matches Played 32 52
Wins 8 38
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.34 2
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Gama
0:4
May 9, 2021 Brasiliense
Gama vs Luziania
3:1
Apr 28, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Gama
1:2
Apr 14, 2021 Brasiliense
Gama vs Luziania
1:1
Mar 7, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Gama
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 32 / 100
Gama 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Luziania scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Luziania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gama let in goals in 46% of their last 52 matches.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Gama
0.67 Goals Scored 2.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
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Gama

(Away)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)