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Luziania vs SESP Brasilia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Luziania Logo

Luziania

1 - 0
FT
SESP Brasilia Logo

SESP Brasilia

Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Sousa Carvalho J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Luziania and SESP Brasilia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Luziania
30%
Draws
39%
SESP Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SESP Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Luziania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SESP Brasilia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
SESP Brasilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania SESP Brasilia
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.31 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs SESP Brasilia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Carvalho J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

SESP Brasilia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 20 / 100
SESP Brasilia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania SESP Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SESP Brasilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

SESP Brasilia let in goals in 44% of their last 9 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Luziania stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS SESP Brasilia
2.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
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SESP Brasilia

(Away)
20 Oct
Sobradinho
3 : 0
SESP Brasilia
12 Oct
SESP Brasilia
1 : 2
Sobradinho
05 Oct
Sobradinho
1 : 1
SESP Brasilia
28 Sept
Legiao
0 : 1
SESP Brasilia
23 Sept
SESP Brasilia
0 : 0
Taguatinga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)