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Luziania vs SESP Brasilia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
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Match Events

59' Event
Sousa Carvalho J.

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Luziania and SESP Brasilia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Luziania
22%
Draws
18%
SESP Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Luziania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luziania's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
SESP Brasilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania SESP Brasilia
Matches Played 32 9
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 2.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs SESP Brasilia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Carvalho J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

SESP Brasilia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 58 / 100
SESP Brasilia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania SESP Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Luziania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SESP Brasilia has conceded goals in 44% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS SESP Brasilia
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
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SESP Brasilia

(Away)
20 Oct
Sobradinho
3 : 0
SESP Brasilia
12 Oct
SESP Brasilia
1 : 2
Sobradinho
05 Oct
Sobradinho
1 : 1
SESP Brasilia
28 Sept
Legiao
0 : 1
SESP Brasilia
23 Sept
SESP Brasilia
0 : 0
Taguatinga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Taguatinga752022:217
2Sobradinho743029:515
3SESP Brasilia742110:214
4Legiao741216:313
5Luziania730417:89
6Gremio Valparaiso73048:219
7Riacho City71066:403
8Botafogo DF70073:300
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)