Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Rachel D.
16'
16'
Kurbiel P.
21'
21'
Krefft J.
AI Match Summary
Luzino in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Luzino lately — more wins on the board than Nowe Skalmierzyce.
- Model gives Luzino a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Luzino here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Luzino Clean Sheet 20%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luzino | Nowe Skalmierzyce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
4:3
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Luzino
1:2
May 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Luzino
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luzino Compare
Top Goalscorer Kurbiel P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Krefft J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Rachel D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Perveinis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luzino 85 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luzino Nowe Skalmierzyce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Luzino scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Nowe Skalmierzyce let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Luzino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Luzino VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Luzino
(Home) 19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4 Luzino
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3 Wisla Plock
28 Aug
Luzino
2 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3 Wisla Plock
28 Aug
Luzino
2 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Aug
Luzino
3 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
09 Aug
Luzino
1 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 3
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Away) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 Apr
Luzino
4 : 3 Nowe Skalmierzyce
25 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 2 Nowe Skalmierzyce
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
