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Lye Town vs Stourbridge

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mills G.
16' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lye Town
20%
Draws
50%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Stourbridge have won more games recently than Lye Town.
  • Stourbridge are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lye Town Clean Sheet 10%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lye Town Stourbridge
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Lye Town vs Stourbridge
2:1
Jul 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Lye Town vs Stourbridge
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lye Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stourbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Mills G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lye Town 18 / 100
Stourbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lye Town Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourbridge has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lye Town scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lye Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lye Town VS Stourbridge
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lye Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Lye Town
1 : 5
Racing Club Warwick
03 Aug
Kettering
4 : 1
Lye Town
18 Jul
Lye Town
2 : 1
Stourbridge
16 Jul
Stratford
2 : 0
Lye Town
08 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Lye Town
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Stourbridge

(Away)
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3
Rushall
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