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Lye Town W vs Northampton W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Northampton W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lye Town W
15%
Draws
42%
Northampton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lye Town W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northampton W come out ahead of Lye Town W on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Northampton W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Lye Town W Clean Sheet 10%
Northampton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lye Town W Northampton W
Matches Played 5 9
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2
Goals Conceded 3.6 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 2.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Lye Town W vs Northampton W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lye Town W 30 / 100
Northampton W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lye Town W Northampton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lye Town W scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Northampton W conceded in 100% of 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Northampton W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lye Town W VS Northampton W
1.2 Goals Scored 2.25
3.6 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lye Town W

(Home)
26 Oct
Wroxham W
3 : 0
Lye Town W
12 Nov
West Brom W
8 : 2
Lye Town W
13 Nov
Lye Town W
1 : 4
Wem Town W
05 Dec
Lye Town W
1 : 2
Northampton W
14 Nov
Shrewsbury W
1 : 2
Lye Town W

Northampton W

(Away)
23 Nov
Middlesbrough W
3 : 0
Northampton W
26 Oct
Northampton W
3 : 2
Sudbury W
03 Nov
Shrewsbury W
3 : 2
Northampton W
12 Nov
Northampton W
0 : 6
Ipswich W
27 Nov
Wolverhampton W
5 : 0
Northampton W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wakefield W 1
AFC Fylde W 4
Burnley W 2
Durham Cestria W 0
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Liverpool W -
Telford W 0
Leafield Athletic W 4
Burton W 0
Lincoln W 4
Shrewsbury W 1
Lye Town W 2
Northampton W 3
Bedworth United W 2
Arsenal W -
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Sutton W 0
Ashford Town W 6
Fulham W 0
Oxford Utd W 3
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London City Lionesses W -
Crewe W 0
West Brom W 5
Shifnal Town W 0
Lincoln Utd. W 4
Long Eaton W 4
Peterborough W 0
Netherton W 3
Knowle W 2
Cheltenham W 4
Liskeard Athletic W 0
Abingdon W 0
Southampton Women's W 3
AFC Stoneham W 0
Eastleigh W 6
Exeter W 3
Gwalia United W 1
Steyning Town W 0
Kent Football W 3
Chesham W 3
Cambridge Utd W 2
QPR W 11
Bromley W 0
Billericay W 5
Luton W 1
Watford W -
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Coventry United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
South Shields W 1
Norton & Stockton W 4
Hartlepool W 0
Leeds W 4
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Durham W -
Blackburn Community SC W 0
Hull City W 1
Liverpool Feds W 2
Fleetwood Town W 0
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Blackburn W -
Birmingham W -
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United of Manchester W 0
Brighouse Town W 1
Farsley W 2
Mossley Hill W 0
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Sunderland W -
Chorley W 5
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 1
Bradford City W 2
Salford W 4
Alnwick Town W 0
Newcastle Utd W 5
Harrogate W 1
Hashtag W 17
Southend W 0
Millwall W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Ipswich W 2
Haywards Heath W 3
London Bees W 2
Portsmouth W 13
Dorking Wanderers W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 1
Bournemouth W 2
Ilminster W 3
Sherborne Town W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Swindon W 0
Bristol City W -
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Lewes W -
Brighton W -
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Reading W -
London Seaward W 0
Cambridge City W 2
Derby W 2
Stourbridge W 3
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Sheffield Utd W -
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West Ham W -
Ascot United W 0
Selsey W 4
New Milton Town W 0
Bridgwater W 4
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Crystal Palace W -
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Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 5
Doncaster W 3
Wymondham W 0
Norwich W 2
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Wolverhampton W 7
Nottingham W 4
Lichfield City W 0
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Manchester City W -
Keynsham Town W 3
Plymouth W 5
St. Austell W 2
Torquay W 0
Worthing FC W 1
Hounslow W 2
Clapton Community W 2
Bedford W 1
Abingdon Town W 1
Gillingham W 4
Herne Bay W 1
Actonians W 8
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Charlton W -
Sheffield FC W 2
Sutton Coldfield Town W 1
Huddersfield W 20
Sir Tom Finney W 0
Herts Vipers W 3
Stevenage W 6
Solihull Moors W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 3
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Everton W -
1/64-finals
AFC Fylde W 2
Burnley W 3
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Liverpool W -
Leafield Athletic W 2
Lincoln W 3
Lye Town W 1
Northampton W 2
Arsenal W -
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Ashford Town W 3
Oxford Utd W 0
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London City Lionesses W -
West Brom W 4
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Long Eaton W -
Netherton W -
Cheltenham W 3
Southampton Women's W 4
Eastleigh W 0
Exeter W 5
Kent Football W 1
Chesham W 6
QPR W 0
Billericay W 3
Watford W -
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Coventry United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Norton & Stockton W 1
Leeds W 2
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Durham W -
Hull City W 1
Liverpool Feds W 2
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Blackburn W -
Birmingham W -
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Brighouse Town W 8
Farsley W 0
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Sunderland W -
Chorley W 3
Bradford City W 1
Salford W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Hashtag W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Ipswich W 4
Haywards Heath W 0
Portsmouth W 2
Bournemouth W 1
Ilminster W 0
Southampton FC W 7
Bristol City W -
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Lewes W -
Brighton W -
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Reading W -
Cambridge City W 1
Stourbridge W 2
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Sheffield Utd W -
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West Ham W -
Selsey W 0
Bridgwater W 3
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Crystal Palace W -
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Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 5
Norwich W 1
Wolverhampton W 0
Nottingham W 4
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Manchester City W -
Plymouth W 4
St. Austell W 2
Hounslow W 0
Clapton Community W 1
Gillingham W -
Actonians W -
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Charlton W -
Sheffield FC W 0
Huddersfield W 3
Stevenage W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 2
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Everton W -
1/32-finals
Burnley W 0
Liverpool W 4
Lincoln W 4
Northampton W 2
Arsenal W -
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Ashford Town W 1
London City Lionesses W 6
West Brom W 5
Long Eaton W 1
Southampton Women's W 0
Exeter W 3
Chesham W 0
Billericay W 10
Watford W 0
Coventry United W 4
Aston Villa W -
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Chelsea W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Leeds W 0
Durham W 6
Liverpool Feds W 0
Blackburn W 1
Birmingham W -
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Brighouse Town W 0
Sunderland W 1
Chorley W 0
Newcastle Utd W 3
AFC Wimbledon W 0
Ipswich W 2
Portsmouth W 1
Southampton FC W 2
Bristol City W 5
Lewes W 0
Brighton W -
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Reading W -
Stourbridge W 0
Sheffield Utd W 3
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West Ham W -
Bridgwater W 1
Crystal Palace W 0
TBD -
Manchester United W -
Stoke City LFC W 1
Nottingham W 2
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Plymouth W 5
Clapton Community W 0
Gillingham W 0
Charlton W 1
Huddersfield W 3
Loughborough Lightning W 1
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Everton W -
1/16-finals
Liverpool W 6
Lincoln W 0
Arsenal W 1
London City Lionesses W 0
West Brom W 1
Exeter W 0
Billericay W 1
Coventry United W 2
Aston Villa W 1
Chelsea W 3
Tottenham W 1
Leicester W 3
Durham W 3
Blackburn W 1
Birmingham W 2
Sunderland W 1
Newcastle Utd W 0
Ipswich W 1
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 0
Brighton W 2
Reading W 3
Sheffield Utd W 1
West Ham W 4
Bridgwater W 0
Manchester United W 2
Nottingham W 0
Manchester City W 8
Plymouth W 0
Charlton W 6
Huddersfield W 0
Everton W 4
1/8-finals
Liverpool W 0
Arsenal W 4
West Brom W 2
Coventry United W 4
Chelsea W 7
Leicester W 0
Durham W 0
Birmingham W 1
Ipswich W 2
Southampton FC W 1
Reading W 0
West Ham W 1
Manchester United W 1
Manchester City W 4
Charlton W 0
Everton W 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 4
Coventry United W 0
Chelsea W 5
Birmingham W 0
Ipswich W 0
West Ham W 1
Manchester City W 4
Everton W 0
Semi-finals
Arsenal W 0
Chelsea W 2
West Ham W 1
Manchester City W 4
Final
Chelsea W 3
Manchester City W 2