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Lyn W vs Aalesund W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Kringsja kunstgress, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Blindheim E. In: Nodland I.
Out: Blindheim E.
46'
Sub
Lindvik T. In: Berget M.
Out: Lindvik T.
57' Event
Sunde K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lyn W
20%
Draws
40%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lyn W haven't matched Aalesund W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aalesund W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aalesund W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lyn W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyn W Aalesund W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.1 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Toppserien Women
Lyn W vs Aalesund W
1:2
May 8, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Lyn W
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Lyn W vs Aalesund W
1:4
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Lyn W vs Aalesund W
1:1
Aug 11, 2021 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Lyn W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyn W 26 / 100
Aalesund W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyn W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Lyn W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Aalesund W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Lyn W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyn W VS Aalesund W
2.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyn W

(Home)
04 Oct
Lyn W
4 : 3
Haugesund W
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
LSK Kvinner W
2 : 3
Lyn W
13 Sept
Lyn W
0 : 3
Brann W
31 Aug
Roa W
1 : 3
Lyn W
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)