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Lyngby vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Lyngby Logo

Lyngby

5 - 0
FT
Esbjerg Logo

Esbjerg

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Foss J.
14' Event
Colyn S.
20'
Thomasen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lyngby in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyngby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lyngby
30%
Draws
27%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyngby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lyngby lately — more wins on the board than Esbjerg.
  • Lyngby are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lyngby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 15%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyngby Esbjerg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 1st Division
Lyngby vs Esbjerg
5:0
Nov 21, 2025 1st Division
Lyngby vs Esbjerg
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
0:2
Mar 18, 2022 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyngby Compare

Top Goalscorer Colyn S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pierre N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Esbjerg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyngby 35 / 100
Esbjerg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyngby Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyngby found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Lyngby stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Esbjerg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lyngby VS Esbjerg
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyngby

(Home)
13 Sept
Lyngby
1 : 1
Sonderjyske
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
04 Sept
Viborg
0 : 2
Lyngby
30 Aug
Lyngby
1 : 1
Odense
26 Aug
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
0 : 1
Lyngby
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Esbjerg

(Away)
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
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