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Lyngdal vs Tollnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 5 2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lyngdal
20%
Draws
51%
Tollnes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tollnes lately — more wins on the board than Lyngdal.
  • Model gives Lyngdal a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Lyngdal Clean Sheet 10%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyngdal Tollnes
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.89 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Lyngdal
4:1
May 14, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Lyngdal vs Tollnes
4:1
Oct 11, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Lyngdal vs Tollnes
3:3
Jun 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Lyngdal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyngdal 47 / 100
Tollnes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyngdal Tollnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyngdal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tollnes conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Lyngdal found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Lyngdal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyngdal VS Tollnes
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyngdal

(Home)
24 Oct
Lyngdal
2 : 3
Vigor
17 Oct
Mandalskameratene
1 : 1
Lyngdal
09 Oct
Lyngdal
3 : 1
Randesund
03 Oct
Froyland
3 : 0
Lyngdal
21 Sept
Sandnes Ulf 2
2 : 0
Lyngdal
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Tollnes

(Away)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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