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Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Ligue 1 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Openda L.
22'
Archer C.
26'
Piedfort A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Lyon and Auxerre finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lyon
20%
Draws
36%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre haven't matched Lyon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lyon a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lyon Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Auxerre
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Auxerre
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Auxerre
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lyon
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Lyon
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Auxerre
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacher F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Athekame Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 85 / 100
Auxerre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lyon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lyon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Auxerre has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Auxerre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)