Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyon vs Le Havre

France France

Ligue 1 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Seko A.
61'
Sub
Boudache K. In: Fofana M.
Out: Boudache K.
62'
Sub
Bidstrup M. In: Nartey N.
Out: Bidstrup M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lyon
35%
Draws
25%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Le Havre.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lyon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lyon Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Le Havre
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
4:2
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Le Havre Compare

Top Goalscorer Samatta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 67 / 100
Le Havre 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Lyon scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lyon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Le Havre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

Le Havre

(Away)
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1
Le Havre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lille 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Rennes 4 3 1 0 8:5 10
4 Paris FC 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Lyon 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
6 Strasbourg 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
7 PSG 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
8 Lorient 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Brest 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
11 Angers 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
12 Troyes 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
14 Le Mans 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
16 Le Havre 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)