Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Seko A.
61'
61'
Sub
Boudache K. In: Fofana M.
Out: Boudache K.
62'
62'
Sub
Bidstrup M. In: Nartey N.
Out: Bidstrup M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lyon have won more games recently than Le Havre.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lyon Clean Sheet 15%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lyon | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Le Havre
4:2
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lyon
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lyon Compare
Top Goalscorer Openda L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Le Havre Compare
Top Goalscorer Samatta M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lyon 30 / 100
Le Havre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lyon Le Havre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lyon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Le Havre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Lyon scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Lyon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lyon VS Le Havre
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lyon
(Home) 05 Nov
Real Sociedad
1 : 1 Lyon
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0 Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0 Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1 Nice
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0 Angers
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1 Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2 Crystal Palace
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0 Rennes
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
Page 1 of 4
Le Havre
(Away) 30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5 PSG
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3 Le Havre
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3 Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0 Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3 Le Havre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0 Le Havre
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1 Le Havre
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1 Le Havre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Brest | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
