Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyon vs Rennes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tamari M.
Assist: Lepaul E.
23'
Lepaul E.
37' Event
Yaremchuk R.
Assist: Tolisso C.

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lyon
35%
Draws
38%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rennes haven't matched Lyon's recent run of results.
  • Lyon are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lyon Clean Sheet 14%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Rennes
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:0
Jan 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaremchuk R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lepaul E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 35 / 100
Rennes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lyon scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Rennes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lyon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Rennes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 7

Rennes

(Away)
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)