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OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
OL Lyonnes W Logo

OL Lyonnes W

Thu, Apr 2, 2026
4 - 0
07:00 PM
Wolfsburg W Logo

Wolfsburg W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Yohannes L.
Assist: Shrader K.
59'
Yohannes L.
60'
Sub
Kielland J. In: Levels J.
Out: Kielland J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OL Lyonnes W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
OL Lyonnes W
15%
Draws
46%
Wolfsburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • OL Lyonnes W have won more games recently than Wolfsburg W.
  • Model gives OL Lyonnes W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • OL Lyonnes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OL Lyonnes W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 68%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Wolfsburg W
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 24 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.09 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
4:0
Mar 24, 2026 Champions League Women
Wolfsburg W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:0
Nov 11, 2025 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
3:1
Dec 17, 2024 Champions League Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Wolfsburg W
1:0
Oct 17, 2024 Champions League Women
Wolfsburg W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohannes L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dumornay D. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Wolfsburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 77 / 100
Wolfsburg W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Wolfsburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OL Lyonnes W scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Wolfsburg W conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: OL Lyonnes W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Wolfsburg W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
29 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
London City Lionesses W
21 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1
Aston Villa W
16 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W
08 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
1 : 1
Real Sociedad W
29 May
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 7

Wolfsburg W

(Away)
26 Aug
Wolfsburg W
2 : 0
Inter W
22 Aug
1.FC Nurnberg W
2 : 8
Wolfsburg W
15 Aug
Bayern Munich W
3 : 0
Wolfsburg W
09 Aug
Werder Bremen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
01 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 3
Wolfsburg W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atl. Madrid W 0
Manchester United W 5
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Paris FC W 2
Real Madrid W 5
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Leuven W 1
Arsenal W 7
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Wolfsburg W 4
Juventus W 2
TBD -
OL Lyonnes W -
Quarter-finals
Manchester United W 3
Bayern Munich W 5
Real Madrid W 2
Barcelona W 12
Arsenal W 3
Chelsea W 2
Wolfsburg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
Semi-finals
Bayern Munich W 3
Barcelona W 5
Arsenal W 3
OL Lyonnes W 4
Final
Barcelona W 4
OL Lyonnes W 0