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Lyseng vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Lyseng Idraetspark, Aarhus
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Sjorslev M.
68' Event
Knaack A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Lyseng and Holbaek finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lyseng
20%
Draws
40%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Lyseng on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lyseng Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyseng Holbaek
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Lyseng
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Lyseng
6:0
Oct 19, 2024 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyseng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjorslev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knaack A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyseng 34 / 100
Holbaek 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyseng Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lyseng scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Holbaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Lyseng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyseng VS Holbaek
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyseng

(Home)
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Holbaek
2 : 1
Lyseng
23 May
Lyseng
2 : 2
Sundby
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Holbaek

(Away)
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
14 Jul
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Holbaek
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