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Lyseng vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Lyseng Idraetspark, Aarhus
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Sjorslev M.
68' Event
Knaack A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Lyseng and Holbaek finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lyseng
15%
Draws
51%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Lyseng on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lyseng Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyseng Holbaek
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Lyseng
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Lyseng
6:0
Oct 19, 2024 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holbaek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyseng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjorslev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knaack A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyseng 18 / 100
Holbaek 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyseng Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lyseng's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lyseng has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyseng VS Holbaek
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyseng

(Home)
01 Sept
Lyseng
0 : 4
Horsens
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Holbaek
2 : 1
Lyseng
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Holbaek

(Away)
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
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