Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Herzliya vs Kfar Saba 1928

Israel Israel

State Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Barzilai T.
61' Event
Mishan O.
66' Event
Barzilai T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with M. Herzliya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
M. Herzliya
20%
Draws
30%
Kfar Saba 1928
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kfar Saba 1928 haven't matched M. Herzliya's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • M. Herzliya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor M. Herzliya, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 22%
Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 State Cup
M. Herzliya vs Kfar Saba 1928
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzilai T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mishan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kfar Saba 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taktuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 37 / 100
Kfar Saba 1928 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya Kfar Saba 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kfar Saba 1928 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kfar Saba 1928's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: M. Herzliya scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

M. Herzliya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Herzliya VS Kfar Saba 1928
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Herzliya

(Home)
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

Kfar Saba 1928

(Away)
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 4
Kfar Saba 1928
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
27 Feb
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 4
Maccabi Yavne
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Nes Tziona 1
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
TBD -
Hapoel Sderot FC 2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7
FC Beer Sheva 0
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
Beitar Haifa 0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula -
TBD -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Kfar Saba 1928 2
Maccabi Yavne 0
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1
Bnei Jaffa 4
Jerusalem FC 6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1
TBD -
H. Raanana -
Kiryat Haim 1
Hapoel Yarka 2
Kfar Kama 0
Kiryat Gat 1
Ironi Modiin -
TBD -
M. Nazareth 2
Beitar Ramat Gan 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv 2
TBD -
MS Kafr Qasim -
Shikun Hamizrah 0
Holon Yermiyahu 5
TBD -
Nof Hagalil -
Ironi Or Yehuda 1
FC Dimona 3
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Hapoel Karmiel 4
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera 3
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2
Kiryat Yam 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya 2
Hapoel Akko 0
Kfar Saba 1928 1
H. Ironi Rishon 0
Bnei Jaffa 1
Jerusalem FC 0
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 0
H. Raanana 1
Hapoel Yarka 0
Kiryat Gat 4
Ironi Modiin 1
M. Nazareth 3
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0
MS Kafr Qasim 2
Holon Yermiyahu 1
Nof Hagalil 0
FC Dimona 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva 0
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 2
Hapoel Karmiel 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Sderot FC 1
Hapoel Jerusalem 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2
Shmona 3
Ironi Tiberias 1
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1
M. Herzliya 4
Kfar Saba 1928 1
Bnei Jaffa 0
Netanya 6
Sakhnin 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
SC Ashdod 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Hapoel Haifa 0
H. Raanana 4
Kiryat Gat 3
M. Nazareth 1
Maccabi Haifa 8
MS Kafr Qasim 3
Holon Yermiyahu 1
FC Dimona 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Shmona 0
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 1
M. Herzliya 0
Netanya 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2
H. Raanana 0
Maccabi Haifa 1
MS Kafr Qasim 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina 0
H. Beer Sheva 3
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Jaffa 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Maccabi Haifa 2
MS Kafr Qasim 0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva 3
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Maccabi Haifa 2
Final
H. Beer Sheva 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2