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M. Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Aleinikov A.
23' Event
Dahan I.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Abramov G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between M. Herzliya and Kiryat Yam finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiryat Yam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
M. Herzliya
30%
Draws
61%
Kiryat Yam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiryat Yam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiryat Yam come out ahead of M. Herzliya on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Kiryat Yam taking it.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 11%
Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya Kiryat Yam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam
1:3
Apr 27, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Kiryat Yam
1:3
Sep 15, 2025 Leumit League
Kiryat Yam vs M. Herzliya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kiryat Yam Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleinikov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cupido A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 10 / 100
Kiryat Yam 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya Kiryat Yam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Yam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: M. Herzliya scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Kiryat Yam let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

M. Herzliya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Herzliya VS Kiryat Yam
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Herzliya

(Home)
16 Oct
Hapoel Afula
0 : 0
M. Herzliya
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
Page 1 of 6

Kiryat Yam

(Away)
16 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
2 Yehuda 10 7 3 0 21:8 24
3 H. Ironi Rishon 10 6 3 1 19:10 21
4 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 10 6 2 2 23:18 20
5 Kiryat Yam 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
6 Hapoel Afula 10 5 3 2 18:13 18
7 H. Raanana 10 5 1 4 21:14 16
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 MS Kafr Qasim 10 4 1 5 13:11 13
10 Ironi Modiin 10 3 2 5 15:17 11
11 Kiryat Gat 10 2 4 4 9:11 10
12 M. Nazareth 10 3 1 6 10:17 10
13 M. Herzliya 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
14 Hapoel Kfar Saba 10 3 0 7 15:24 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 10 2 0 8 7:22 6
16 Hapoel Akko 10 0 1 9 0:27 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)