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M. Lipetsk vs Salyut-Belgorod

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 Stadion Metallurg
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Pakhomov D.
17' Event
Gagua D.
21'
Faskhutdinov V.

AI Match Summary

M. Lipetsk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored M. Lipetsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
M. Lipetsk
39%
Draws
31%
Salyut-Belgorod
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • M. Lipetsk haven't matched Salyut-Belgorod's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 68%
Salyut-Belgorod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Lipetsk Salyut-Belgorod
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Salyut-Belgorod
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Salyut-Belgorod
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs M. Lipetsk
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Salyut-Belgorod vs M. Lipetsk
0:4
Sep 9, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
M. Lipetsk vs Salyut-Belgorod
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pakhomov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kazimir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Salyut-Belgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagua D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Lipetsk 41 / 100
Salyut-Belgorod 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Lipetsk Salyut-Belgorod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: M. Lipetsk scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Salyut-Belgorod conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: M. Lipetsk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Lipetsk VS Salyut-Belgorod
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk28194549:1861
2Salyut-Belgorod28193653:2460
3Dynamo Petersburg28178357:2059
4Spartak Tambov28165747:2553
5Znamya Truda28164857:2952
6Ryazan28138736:2947
7M. Lipetsk281351036:2544
8FC Oryol281081036:3738
9Arsenal Tula 228961339:3933
10Rodina Moscow 328881239:4632
11Penza28841626:4028
12SKA Khabarovsk 228831739:6427
13R. Volgograd 228581526:4423
14Strogino Moscow28631931:7321
15Kvant Obninsk28172017:7510
16Khimki 200000:00