Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Khalaila A.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula in this Leumit League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
M. Nazareth
30%
Draws
37%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Afula lately — more wins on the board than M. Nazareth.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 11%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Apr 7, 2023 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs M. Nazareth
1:1
Feb 14, 2023 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs M. Nazareth
3:0
Oct 21, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
May 6, 2022 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs M. Nazareth
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Nazareth Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 30 / 100
Hapoel Afula 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Hapoel Afula let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

M. Nazareth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Afula
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)