Sport Picks
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israel
Liga Alef North 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Masarwa S.
(Penalty)
68'
68'
Abu Nasser A.
83'
83'
Abed A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef North 2025/2026 game between M. Nazareth and Hapoel Bnei Musmus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Nazareth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: M. Nazareth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — M. Nazareth are scoring more at 1.63.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on M. Nazareth taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | M. Nazareth | Hapoel Bnei Musmus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 20 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs M. Nazareth
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Dec 27, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs M. Nazareth
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
M. Nazareth Compare
Top Goalscorer Abu Nasser A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
M. Nazareth 49 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
M. Nazareth Hapoel Bnei Musmus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (19 games).
Hapoel Bnei Musmus has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: M. Nazareth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
M. Nazareth
(Home) 24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0 M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0 Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3 M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2 M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 4
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0 Hapoel Akko
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1 Hapoel Afula
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1 MS Tira
Page 1 of 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
(Away) 30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2 Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Page 1 of 4
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Jan
Hapoel Karmiel
2 : 3 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 42 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Hapoel Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Ironi Baka | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 10 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | 21 |
| 13 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 17 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | 11 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
