Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Masarwa S.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Abu Nasser A.
83' Event
Abed A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between M. Nazareth and Hapoel Bnei Musmus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Nazareth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
M. Nazareth
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus haven't matched M. Nazareth's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on M. Nazareth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 0.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs M. Nazareth
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Dec 27, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs M. Nazareth
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Nasser A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 42 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: M. Nazareth remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3
M. Nazareth
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
2 : 2
M. Nazareth
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
MS Tira
23 Jan
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
30 Jan
Hapoel Karmiel
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
24 Jan
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)