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M. Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Nazareth host Kiryat Yam in the Leumit League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. M. Nazareth have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Kiryat Yam's 1.59 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Kiryat Yam slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.25, favoring Kiryat Yam. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
M. Nazareth
20%
Draws
57%
Kiryat Yam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiryat Yam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kiryat Yam lately — more wins on the board than M. Nazareth.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Kiryat Yam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kiryat Yam have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%
Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Kiryat Yam
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2025 Liga Alef North
Kiryat Yam vs M. Nazareth
4:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam
0:2
Feb 16, 2024 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Kiryat Yam
0:2
Sep 8, 2023 Liga Alef North
Kiryat Yam vs M. Nazareth
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 26 / 100
Kiryat Yam 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Kiryat Yam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Yam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (18 games).

Defensive concern: Kiryat Yam conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

M. Nazareth has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Kiryat Yam
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
23 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
M. Nazareth
16 Oct
M. Nazareth
0 : 4
Hapoel Kfar Saba
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 4

Kiryat Yam

(Away)
23 Oct
Yehuda
5 : 1
Kiryat Yam
16 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 11 9 1 1 23:8 28
2 Yehuda 11 8 3 0 26:9 27
3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
4 H. Ironi Rishon 11 6 3 2 19:13 21
5 H. Raanana 11 6 1 4 22:14 19
6 Kiryat Yam 11 6 1 4 28:21 19
7 Hapoel Afula 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 11 5 2 4 20:14 17
9 MS Kafr Qasim 11 4 1 6 13:12 13
10 Hapoel Kfar Saba 11 4 0 7 17:24 12
11 Kiryat Gat 11 2 5 4 11:13 11
12 M. Nazareth 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
13 Ironi Modiin 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
14 M. Herzliya 11 2 3 6 9:14 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 11 3 0 8 8:22 9
16 Hapoel Akko 11 0 1 10 0:28 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)