Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Nazareth vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Nazareth host Tzeirey Um El Fahem in the Liga Alef North. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: M. Nazareth at 0.38 goals for, 0 against; Tzeirey Um El Fahem at 0.5 for, 0.38 against. Past meetings favor M. Nazareth slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.38 xG vs 0.80) point toward M. Nazareth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
M. Nazareth
20%
Draws
38%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tzeirey Um El Fahem haven't matched M. Nazareth's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on M. Nazareth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs M. Nazareth
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs M. Nazareth
0:0
Dec 3, 2024 Liga Alef North
M. Nazareth vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2:2
Mar 12, 2024 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs M. Nazareth
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 42 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tzeirey Um El Fahem conceded in 75% of 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

M. Nazareth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3
M. Nazareth
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
2 : 2
M. Nazareth
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
MS Tira
23 Jan
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
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Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Away)
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)