Sport Picks
M. Nazareth vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israel
Liga Alef North 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
M. Nazareth host Tzeirey Um El Fahem in the Liga Alef North 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: M. Nazareth at 1.71 goals for, 1.48 against; Tzeirey Um El Fahem at 1.25 for, 1.4 against. Past meetings favor M. Nazareth slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 0.50) point toward M. Nazareth. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tzeirey Um El Fahem haven't matched M. Nazareth's recent run of results.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on M. Nazareth taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | M. Nazareth | Tzeirey Um El Fahem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 20 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
M. Nazareth's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Defensive concern: Tzeirey Um El Fahem conceded in 75% of 20 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
M. Nazareth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
M. Nazareth
(Home)Tzeirey Um El Fahem
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 42 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Hapoel Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Ironi Baka | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 10 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | 21 |
| 13 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 17 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | 11 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
