Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maardu Aliens vs Eston Villa

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eston Villa in this Estonian Cup 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maardu Aliens
6%
Draws
4%
Eston Villa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maardu Aliens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eston Villa have won more games recently than Maardu Aliens.
  • Model gives Maardu Aliens a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Estonian Cup 2021/2022 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maardu Aliens Clean Sheet 10%
Eston Villa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Aliens Eston Villa
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1 3.75
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.43 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2021 Estonian Cup
Maardu Aliens vs Eston Villa
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Aliens 83 / 100
Eston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Aliens Eston Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Maardu Aliens scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Eston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Eston Villa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Aliens VS Eston Villa
1 Goals Scored 3.75
3.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid0
Flora U193
Rumori Calcio II1
FCP Parnu4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora-
Zenit Tallinn4
Tallinna Kalev U212
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond III-
Valga Warrior-
FCT Titans-
Kristiine5
Jogeva Wolves3
Kose0
Maksatransport2
Raplamaa15
Wolfram0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Kadakas3
TransferWise4
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev-
Tabasalu II-
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani5
Kusti4
Rumori Calcio-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Legion-
TBD-
TBD-
Soccernet-
Elva3
Helm0
Tallinna Wolves1
JK Jalgpallihaigla5
Viimsi JK3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
TBD-
ReUnited-
Loo JK4
FC Alliance U212
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FCI Tallinn8
FC Hell Hunt0
TBD-
Parnu Sadam-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Karskem Karsklus-
Narva-
HF Beer-
FC Alliance10
Tartu JK Welco 21
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
Eston Villa-
Helios-
TBD-
Rakvere3
Puhkus Mehhikos1
Kohvile7
Young FC4
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
JK Poseidon-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuressaare-
Tartu Kalev-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu II11
Aksi Wolves1
Nomme Utd-
Jogeva-
Marjamaa Kompanii4
Imavere Forss5
Tulevik26
Lelle0
Olympic Tallinn2
Hiiumaa1
Tulevik U21-
Tallinn Piraaja-
TBD-
Ganvix Turi-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Kalju-
TBD-
Mulgi3
JK 32. keskkool1
EstHam United-
TBD-
Eston Villa II-
FC Ararat-
Vastseliina Tannem4
Teleios0
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna-
Parnu-
TBD-
Legion U215
Annelinna Ajax2
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
1/32-finals
Flora U1912
FCP Parnu0
TBD-
Flora-
Zenit Tallinn1
Paide Linnameeskond III4
Valga Warrior1
Kristiine4
Maksatransport1
Raplamaa3
TBD-
Levadia-
TransferWise2
Tallinna Kalev9
Tabasalu II6
Jarva-Jaani0
Rumori Calcio0
Laanemaa Haapsalu7
Legion21
Soccernet0
Elva13
JK Jalgpallihaigla1
Viimsi JK-
ReUnited-
Loo JK2
FC Tallinn3
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FCI Tallinn8
Parnu Sadam1
Flora Tallinn U2124
Karskem Karsklus0
Narva5
FC Alliance0
Maardu Aliens2
Eston Villa3
Helios3
Rakvere1
Kohvile1
Tartu JK Welco2
Saku Sporting0
Tammeka Tartu9
JK Poseidon0
Kuressaare9
Tartu Kalev10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II0
Nomme Utd-
Imavere Forss-
Tulevik-
Olympic Tallinn-
Tulevik U214
Ganvix Turi0
Tallinna FC Zapoos2
Johvi Phoenix0
Kalju32
Mulgi0
EstHam United0
FC Ararat6
Vastseliina Tannem-
Pohja-Tallinna-
Parnu2
Legion U210
Tabasalu11
Arukula Vigri1
1/16-finals
Flora U190
Flora14
Paide Linnameeskond III5
Kristiine0
Raplamaa0
Levadia5
Tallinna Kalev3
Tabasalu II0
Laanemaa Haapsalu2
Legion8
Elva2
Viimsi JK0
FC Tallinn1
Paide Linnameeskond4
FCI Tallinn2
Flora Tallinn U213
Narva3
Eston Villa0
Helios0
Tartu JK Welco3
Tammeka Tartu3
Kuressaare1
Tartu Kalev4
Nomme Utd2
Tulevik10
Tulevik U210
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Kalju9
FC Ararat2
Vastseliina Tannem3
Parnu0
Tabasalu1
1/8-finals
Flora-
Paide Linnameeskond III-
Levadia3
Tallinna Kalev0
Legion-
Elva-
Paide Linnameeskond14
Flora Tallinn U210
Narva3
Tartu JK Welco0
Tammeka Tartu3
Tartu Kalev0
Tulevik1
Kalju3
Vastseliina Tannem-
Tabasalu-
Quarter-finals
Flora2
Levadia0
Legion0
Paide Linnameeskond2
Narva2
Tammeka Tartu0
Kalju7
Tabasalu0
Semi-finals
Flora0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Narva0
Kalju1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond1
Kalju0