Sport Picks
Maardu Aliens vs JK Poseidon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with JK Poseidon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JK Poseidon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and JK Poseidon come out ahead of Maardu Aliens on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Maardu Aliens's way, sitting at 36%.
- JK Poseidon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor JK Poseidon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maardu Aliens Clean Sheet 10%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maardu Aliens | JK Poseidon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 26 |
| Wins | 2 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.9 | 4.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2025 Estonian Cup
Maardu Aliens vs JK Poseidon
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maardu Aliens 34 / 100
JK Poseidon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maardu Aliens JK Poseidon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: JK Poseidon conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Maardu Aliens's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.
Difficult form: JK Poseidon registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maardu Aliens VS JK Poseidon
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3.43 Goals Conceded 3.25
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maardu Aliens
(Home) 26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 2
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
30 Aug
Maardu Aliens
0 : 3 Elva
Page 1 of 2
JK Poseidon
(Away) 11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
26 Jun
Tamper
4 : 1 JK Poseidon
26 Jul
Valga Warrior
1 : 6 JK Poseidon
29 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 3 JK Poseidon
29 Jul
Olympic Tallinn
1 : 2 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
TransferWise -
Tallinna Wolves 6
Soccernet 4
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri III -
Saue JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
Narva -
Lootus JK Jarve -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 2
Rae Spordikool 4
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
TalTech JK -
Tamper -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Kose -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
Tartu Kalev 1
Elva 2
TBD -
Legion -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Smsraha -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 2
FC Lootos Polva 0
Raplamaa 1
Saku Sporting 5
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Kubik 0
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Keila JK 5
Kallaste United 2
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Vana Hea Puur 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1
Tartu JK Welco 16
Kuusalu Kalev 0
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiine -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Kohvile 0
Helm 4
Levadia -
TBD -
Flora U18 1
Flora Tallinn U21 12
Tabasalu Ulasabat 13
Eston Villa 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Wolves 3
Raasiku Joker 4
Nomme Utd 5
Harju JK Laagri III 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Maksatransport 1
Tartu JK Welco 2 0
Narva 8
Lootus JK Jarve 1
Rae Spordikool 10
FC Tallinn 7
Zealot Sporting 1
Johvi Phoenix -
Kose II -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK 7
TalTech JK 1
Tamper 4
Rumori Calcio 2
Kose 0
Kuressaare 7
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 0
Elva 3
Legion 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Smsraha 7
Tallinna Kalev III 9
EstHam United 0
Hiiumaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 7
FC Hell Hunt 0
Saku Sporting 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 13
Tulevik 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Keila JK 4
Maardu Aliens 1
JK Poseidon 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tartu Helios 0
Arukula Vigri 0
Kristiine 4
1/16-finals
Flora 14
Helm 0
Levadia 4
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Raasiku Joker 1
Nomme Utd 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Narva 4
Rae Spordikool 0
FC Tallinn 9
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kalju 6
Viimsi JK 4
Tamper 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Flora U19 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Elva 3
Tallinna Smsraha 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Saku Sporting 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 9
Keila JK 0
JK Poseidon 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Kristiine 0
1/8-finals
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Harju JK Laagri 0
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 6
FC Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Viimsi JK 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Elva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
JK Poseidon 0
Tartu JK Welco 6
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 4
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Tallinna Kalev 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Tartu JK Welco 1
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Final
Flora 5
Paide Linnameeskond 1
