Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu kunstmuruväljak - Artificial grass

Maardu Linnameeskond

1 - 1

FC Tallinn

Our Tip

Match Events

70'

Ekharts D.

Assist: Arhipov L.

83'

Toropov A.

90'

Tserezov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Maardu Linnameeskond

Draws

FC Tallinn

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Maardu Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than FC Tallinn.
Maardu Linnameeskond are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 19%

FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maardu Linnameeskond	FC Tallinn
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	11	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga

FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Tallinn

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly

FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 4 - 0

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Tserezov M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 85 / 100

FC Tallinn 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maardu Linnameeskond FC Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Tallinn conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS FC Tallinn

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	19	14	3	2	62:24	45
2	Viimsi JK	18	9	5	4	30:16	32
3	Flora Tallinn U21	18	9	4	5	45:35	31
4	Elva	19	8	3	8	34:32	27
5	Levadia U21	19	8	0	11	37:35	24
6	Maardu Linnameeskond	19	6	5	8	27:46	23
7	Tallinna Kalev	19	6	4	9	37:39	22
8	Nomme Utd U21	18	5	5	8	35:42	20
9	Kalju U21	18	5	4	9	30:44	19
10	FC Tallinn	19	4	5	10	25:49	17