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Maastricht vs Apeldoorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Fri, Feb 1, 2013
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maastricht host Apeldoorn in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. This one's hard to separate. Maastricht have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Apeldoorn's 1.5 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Maastricht slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2013, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.25, favoring Maastricht. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maastricht
20%
Draws
51%
Apeldoorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apeldoorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maastricht lately — more wins on the board than Apeldoorn.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 19%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maastricht Apeldoorn
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Apeldoorn
0:0
Sep 21, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Maastricht
2:3
Mar 30, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Maastricht
1:1
Dec 2, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Apeldoorn
2:2
Mar 4, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Maastricht
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maastricht 32 / 100
Apeldoorn 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maastricht Apeldoorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apeldoorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maastricht scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Apeldoorn has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Maastricht remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maastricht VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maastricht

(Home)
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

Apeldoorn

(Away)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)