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Macae vs Audax RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Barrozo G.
77' Event
da Silva N.

AI Match Summary

Macae in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Macae
15%
Draws
36%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Audax RJ haven't matched Macae's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Macae Clean Sheet 68%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Audax RJ
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Carioca B1
Macae vs Audax RJ
2:0
Jun 12, 2021 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Macae
6:0
Mar 23, 2014 Carioca
Audax RJ vs Macae
0:1
Apr 7, 2013 Carioca
Audax RJ vs Macae
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macae Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrozo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Audax RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 41 / 100
Audax RJ 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Audax RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macae Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macae's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Audax RJ has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Audax RJ registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Audax RJ
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
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Audax RJ

(Away)
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0
Resende
20 Jun
Marica
1 : 0
Audax RJ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duque de Caxias 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Artsul 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Niteroiense 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Goytacaz 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Macae 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 Campo Grande 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Sao Cristovao 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
8 Goncalense 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Serrano FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
10 Nova Cidade 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
11 AA Carapebus 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
12 Audax RJ 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)