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Macao vs Caldas SC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Macao Logo

Macao

0 - 1
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Caldas SC Logo

Caldas SC

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between Macao and Caldas SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldas SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Macao
15%
Draws
59%
Caldas SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldas SC come out ahead of Macao on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caldas SC a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Macao Clean Sheet 19%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macao Caldas SC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs Caldas SC
0:1
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Caldas SC vs Macao
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macao 20 / 100
Caldas SC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macao Caldas SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Macao scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Macao went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macao VS Caldas SC
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macao

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
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Caldas SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)