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Macao vs Nogueirense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Macao Logo

Macao

2 - 1
FT
Nogueirense Logo

Nogueirense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Macao in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Macao
30%
Draws
47%
Nogueirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nogueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nogueirense lately — more wins on the board than Macao.
  • Nogueirense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Macao Clean Sheet 15%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macao Nogueirense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.6 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs Nogueirense
2:1
Sep 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Nogueirense vs Macao
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macao 19 / 100
Nogueirense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macao Nogueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nogueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Nogueirense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Macao's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Macao went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macao VS Nogueirense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macao

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
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Nogueirense

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3
Nogueirense
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)